Varvara Lepchenko vs Rebeka Masarova Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

How do Masarova and Lepchenko stack up when it comes to their second serve performance? Over the past six months, Masarova has managed to secure 39.31% of points from her second serve. In contrast, Lepchenko has fared better, winning 43.94% of those points. This slight advantage in second serve performance could tilt the balance toward Lepchenko.

Examining the return game performance reveals a close battle. Masarova has captured 46.38% of points on her opponents' second serves, compared to Lepchenko's 46.63%. Their first-serve return success stands at 30.66% for Masarova and 31.04% for Lepchenko, suggesting that Lepchenko again holds a marginal edge when it comes to neutralizing her opponent's serve.

When analyzing how they perform under pressure, particularly on breakpoints, there is another subtle difference. Masarova has saved 47.54% of breakpoints faced, slightly trailing Lepchenko's breakpoint save rate of 50%. This resilience could prove crucial during intense, high-stakes moments in a match.

Over the last 12 months, Masarova's overall match win rate stands at 48.15% (26 wins, 28 losses), while Lepchenko boasts a more formidable 60.47% win rate (52 wins, 34 losses). The difference in these figures is noteworthy and could suggest Lepchenko's stronger form coming into this matchup.

The clay court emerges as both players' most favorable surface. Masarova has an impressive career win rate of 66% on clay, although Lepchenko isn't far behind with a 58% win rate. On the grass courts, neither player shines; Masarova has a win rate of 38% on this surface, while Lepchenko hovers slightly higher at 39%.

Analyzing their competition level, Masarova has primarily engaged in Challengers/ITF tournaments, boasting a 52.38% win rate within these events in the past year. Lepchenko also competes largely at this level, with a superior win rate of 61.11%, hinting at perhaps a more consistent performance against similar-level opposition.

In terms of the caliber of opponents faced, Masarova has contended with players who hold an average ranking of 154.78, while Lepchenko's opponents average out at a ranking of 230.59. This disparity in opponent quality might have impacted their win rates, as Masarova has faced relatively stronger challengers.

What happens if the match extends into a deciding set? Masarova has captured 48% of deciding sets over the past year. Meanwhile, Lepchenko edges ahead with a 50% success rate in deciding sets, making her slightly more reliable in closing out tough matches.

Finally, considering breakpoint conversion—a telling statistic—Masarova has converted 25.74% of breakpoints lately, while Lepchenko has proven more efficient, converting 32.56% of her opportunities. This ability to capitalize on breakpoints might offer Lepchenko a critical edge in tight contests.

Weaving through these statistics, Lepchenko seems to hold a slender advantage across multiple areas, making her the favorite for victory in this intriguing encounter.